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Image by Wim van 't Einde

Thinking through the hardest days before they happen.

What I Do: 

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1

Crisis Analysis

Deep-dives on real conflicts and crises from wars and occupations to energy blackmail, cyber attacks and political stand-offs. I ask given their real constraints, what options does each side actually have?

2

Strategic Simulations

Turn-based scenarios set in fictional states. I make these scenarios as close as possible to reality. They’re my lab for testing ideas about deterrence, escalation, deception and survival.

3

Thinking Across Domains

Modern crises aren’t just about tanks on a map. I look at the interaction between military operations, energy, finance, cyber, alliances, domestic politics and public narrative. 

Latest Analysis

Explore my latest analysis on real crisis analysis and strategy driven simulations.  

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©2025 by Daniel Kellaway

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